Catalyst Calendar - March 31, 2026 (EOD)

 ## Today's Catalyst Results How did scheduled events play out? - **Nike Earnings Preview** - Result: Nike forecasted a surprise sales drop due to weakness in China, impacting its turnaround efforts. Market reaction: Shares declined after hours reflecting investor concerns over the slowdown in a key growth region. - **Deere & Company** - Result: Deere showed signs of positive change with improving fundamentals. Market reaction: Shares gained, benefiting from optimism about the company’s turnaround and sector tailwinds. - **AlTi Global (ALTI) Q4 2025 Earnings** - Result: Reported a 71% revenue surge with strong ultra-high-net-worth client focus. Market reaction: Stock rose modestly by 0.56%, reflecting confidence in growth execution. - **Nuvve Holding Corp (NVVE) Q4 2025 Earnings** - Result: Posted margin gains but revenue missed targets. Market reaction: Slight stock decline, indicating mixed investor sentiment. - **East Side Games Group Inc. (EAGR:CA) Q4 2025 Earnings** - Result: Shifted strategic focus amid challenges. Market reaction: Data not available. - **MDB Capital Holdings (MDB) Q4 2025** - Result: Highlighted strategic investments supporting growth. Market reaction: Stock rose 3.95%, reflecting investor approval of capital deployment. - **Dave & Buster’s Q4 2026 Earnings** - Result: Missed EPS and revenue estimates. Market reaction: Shares fell sharply, reflecting disappointment. - **J.Jill (JILL) Q4 2025 Earnings** - Result: Margins compressed as growth initiatives took shape, earnings beat by $0.09 but stock fell 23.4%. Market reaction: Negative sentiment due to guidance and margin concerns. - **Phreesia (PHR) Q4 2026 Earnings** - Result: Missed expectations with a 26% stock decline. Market reaction: Downgrade and negative investor reaction. - **Super Micro Computer (SMCI) Q4 2025 Earnings** - Result: Benefited from AI-related demand, shares surged 7.45%. Market reaction: Strong buying interest on AI growth prospects. - **Marvell Technology (MRVL)** - Result: Stock surged 14.09% on Nvidia’s $2 billion investment and partnership. Market reaction: Strong positive momentum driven by AI infrastructure demand. - **Palantir Technologies (PLTR)** - Result: Shares gained 6.54% amid news of critical U.S. military contracts and renewed interest. Market reaction: Positive despite recent volatility. - **Tesla (TSLA)** - Result: Shares rose 4.99% ahead of delivery report, easing demand concerns. Market reaction: Bullish sentiment on improving delivery outlook. - **Apple (AAPL)** - Result: Shares rose 2.9%, boosted by optimism despite Warren Buffett’s reluctance to buy currently. Market reaction: Strong tech sector rally contributed to gains. - **Amazon (AMZN)** - Result: Shares gained 3.76%, supported by satellite business wins and AI-related optimism. Market reaction: Positive momentum in tech and growth stocks. - **Meta Platforms (META)** - Result: Shares surged 7.06% on smart glasses launch and AI initiatives. Market reaction: Renewed investor enthusiasm for AI-driven growth. - **Gold (GLD)** - Result: Gold rallied 3.67%, holding a three-day gain amid Iran war de-escalation hopes. Market reaction: Safe-haven demand supported bullion prices. - **Oil (USO)** - Result: Fell 1.87% despite geopolitical tensions, reflecting uncertainty about supply disruptions. Market reaction: Mixed energy sector sentiment. - **Semiconductor Sector** - Result: Stocks like AMD (+3.78%), NVDA (+5.5%), LRCX (+7.04%), and MU (+5.99%) rebounded strongly after a brief bear ETF surge faded. Market reaction: Dip-buying and short covering drove a strong bounce. ## Surprise News Today Unexpected developments that moved markets: - **Bitcoin** - Moody’s gave a first-ever rating to a crypto bond deal, marking Bitcoin’s entry into the public bond market. Reaction: Crypto markets showed cautious optimism amid ongoing volatility. - **Apollo (APO) & KKR** - Apollo is moving to acquire KKR’s Atlantic Aviation in a $10 billion deal. Reaction: Shares of Apollo and KKR reacted positively to the potential transaction. - **Nike (NKE)** - Despite better-than-expected results, Nike’s forecasted sales drop in China surprised investors negatively. Reaction: Shares declined notably after hours. - **Biogen (BIIB) & Apellis (APLS)** - Biogen acquired Apellis for $5.6 billion; Apellis shares soared 135.81%, while Biogen declined 2.26%. Reaction: Market rewarded Apellis’s premium valuation but punished Biogen on acquisition concerns. - **JPMorgan (JPM)** - Announced plans to increase small-business lending and hire more credit officers, signaling confidence in credit demand. Reaction: Shares rose 3.66%. - **Oracle (ORCL)** - Initiated large-scale layoffs amid rising AI spending, shares jumped 6.06% despite pressure. Reaction: Market viewed cost cuts as positive for margins. - **CoreWeave (CORZ)** - Stock jumped 7.84% after securing an $8.5 billion GPU-backed loan for AI infrastructure expansion. Reaction: Strong investor enthusiasm for AI infrastructure plays. - **Snap (SNAP)** - Shares surged 14.18% after activist investor Irenic pushed for cost cuts and value creation. Reaction: Positive momentum on activist involvement. - **Nio (NIO)** - Shares jumped 9.8% following optimism for strong Q1 sales and first-ever quarterly profit. Reaction: Bullish sentiment on turnaround prospects. - **Marvell Technology (MRVL)** - Nvidia’s $2 billion investment and partnership triggered a 14.09% stock surge. Reaction: Market embraced AI infrastructure growth story. - **Hut 8 Mining (HUT)** - Shares rose 10.37% on AI pivot optimism despite recent weakness. Reaction: Investors rewarded strategic shift toward AI data centers. - **J.Jill (JILL)** - Despite earnings beat, shares plunged 23.4% on weak guidance and margin concerns. Reaction: Negative market response. - **Repay Holdings (RPAY)** - Shares dropped 16.67% on M&A call transcript revealing concerns. Reaction: Bearish sentiment. - **PepGen (PEPG)** - Shares plunged 60.28% after mixed Phase 2 data, but higher dose offers some relief. Reaction: Volatile trading amid clinical uncertainty. - **American Exchange Group** - Announced acquisition of Allbirds for $39 million. Reaction: Shares of Allbirds collapsed from prior highs, signaling a major value reset. - **Trump Administration** - Signaled willingness to end Iran war without reopening Strait of Hormuz, boosting risk appetite. Reaction: Broad market rally with tech and growth leading gains. ## After-Hours Catalysts Earnings and events happening tonight: - **Nike (NKE)** - Earnings report after the bell; watch for sales trends in China and margin outlook amid turnaround efforts. - **Conagra (CAG)** - Earnings expected; watch for commentary on inflation and consumer demand. - **Lamb Weston (LW)** - Earnings due; focus on margin pressures in the food processing sector. - **McCormick & Company (MKC)** - Q1 earnings; watch for integration progress on Unilever food business acquisition. - **J.Jill (JILL)** - Additional earnings details and guidance updates expected. - **Phreesia (PHR)** - Follow-up on Q4 results and outlook amid recent stock weakness. - **Super Micro Computer (SMCI)** - Further details on AI-driven growth and capital expenditures. - **Nuvve Holding Corp (NVVE)** - Additional earnings commentary on margin and revenue outlook. - **East Side Games Group (EAGR:CA)** - Strategic update and Q4 results. - **AlTi Global (ALTI)** - Earnings call to discuss strong revenue growth and future strategy. ## Tomorrow's Calendar Key events scheduled for tomorrow: - **ADP Jobs Report** - Time: Morning - Watch for labor market strength signals amid mixed economic data. - **ISM Manufacturing PMI** - Time: Morning - Important for assessing manufacturing sector health and economic momentum. - **Retail Sales Data** - Time: Morning - Key indicator of consumer spending trends post-Iran war optimism. - **Conagra Earnings** - Time: After market close - Watch for inflation impact and consumer demand commentary. - **Nike Earnings** - Time: After market close - Focus on China sales and turnaround progress. ## This Week Ahead Other catalysts coming this week: - Wednesday: ADP jobs, retail sales, and ISM manufacturing PMI releases will be critical for gauging economic momentum. - Thursday: Additional earnings from key consumer and industrial companies may influence market direction. ## Highest Conviction Setup Based on today's action and upcoming catalysts: - Stock: **Marvell Technology (MRVL)** - Catalyst: Nvidia’s $2 billion investment and partnership, plus strong AI infrastructure demand. - Thesis: Marvell is positioned to capitalize on the AI-driven semiconductor boom, with a significant capital infusion validating its growth trajectory. The stock’s 14% surge today reflects strong investor conviction in its role as a key AI chip supplier. Upcoming earnings and Nvidia’s continued support should sustain momentum. Additional names to watch include **CoreWeave (CORZ)** for its landmark $8.5 billion GPU-backed loan and **Snap (SNAP)** on activist-driven value creation, both benefiting from AI and tech sector tailwinds.