
## TODAY'S GRADE: C
A challenging day for traders as geopolitical tensions and sector-specific selloffs led to choppy price action and mixed results, with tech and chip stocks notably under pressure.
## HOW INDEXES TRADED
**SPY:** -0.5% - choppy with downward bias
**QQQ:** -1.2% - weak, pressured by tech selloff
**IWM:** -0.3% - mild decline, relatively resilient
## BIGGEST MOVERS
### Winners
**$MGM** +3.5% - takeover talks with Barry Diller’s People Inc. boosted sentiment
**$PAR** +2.8% - hit all-time high on strong operational momentum
**$DECK** +2.5% - Jefferies upgrade citing margin outlook improvements
### Losers
**$SKHY** -15% - steep drop after Nasdaq debut amid AI memory stock selloff
**$SNDK** -8% - dragged down by DRAM sector weakness and AI demand concerns
**$ORCL** -5% - slipped to 52-week low amid broad tech weakness and AI spending scrutiny
## WHAT WORKED
Patterns or setups that worked today:
- Short setups in semiconductor and AI memory stocks, exemplified by **$SKHY** and **$SNDK**, capitalizing on sector rotation and profit-taking.
- Defensive plays in energy and select consumer discretionary stocks like **$MGM** and **$PAR** that benefited from geopolitical risk and takeover rumors.
## WHAT FAILED
Setups that didn't work:
- Long tech momentum trades, especially in AI-related names, failed as renewed U.S.-Iran tensions and rising oil prices spooked growth sectors.
- Breakout attempts in chip stocks were quickly reversed due to heavy selling pressure post-IPO and sector-wide weakness.
## AFTER-HOURS WATCH
Earnings or news to monitor tonight:
- **$JPM** - Big bank earnings expected Tuesday morning, with options traders bracing for volatility.
- **$BAC** and **$WFC** - Other major banks reporting soon; focus on trading, investment banking, and commercial lending trends.
- **$TSMC** - Reports earnings on July 16; June revenue surged 36%, a key read for chip sector sentiment.
## TOMORROW PREVIEW
**Early Watch:**
- **$JPM**, **$BAC**, **$WFC** for bank earnings reaction.
- **$TSMC** ahead of earnings, potential impact on chip ETFs like **$SMH**.
- **$AMZN** and **$META** for AI spending updates and capex guidance.
**Catalyst:**
- Bank earnings and guidance amid shifting focus from interest rates to business growth drivers.
- Geopolitical developments in the Middle East influencing oil prices and risk appetite.
- Economic data including inflation readings that could affect Fed policy outlook.
**Bias:**
- Neutral to bearish near-term given geopolitical risks and sector rotation pressures, but selective opportunities in banks and energy may emerge.
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