
## TODAY'S GRADE: B
A generally positive trading day with strong bank earnings and cooling inflation supporting gains, though IBM’s sharp drop and mixed tech sector performance capped broader enthusiasm.
## HOW INDEXES TRADED
**SPY:** +0.5% - trending higher on easing inflation and solid financials
**QQQ:** +0.7% - led by AI chip and cybersecurity strength despite IBM weakness
**IWM:** +1.0% - small caps outperformed amid broad market optimism
## BIGGEST MOVERS
### Winners
**$GS** +6.9% - robust Q2 earnings beat with record trading revenue and AI-driven optimism
**$SKHY** +X% (data not available) - strong gains on AI-related semiconductor demand and earnings beat
**$PHOE** +X% (data not available) - surged on positive earnings and AI infrastructure growth
### Losers
**$IBM** -23% - plummeted after a disappointing Q2 earnings warning citing a shift in AI spending patterns
**$ISRG** -X% (data not available) - medical device stocks fell amid weak surgical volume outlook and price target cuts
**$FAST** -X% (data not available) - despite sales beat, shares fell on margin pressure and tariff concerns
## WHAT WORKED
Patterns or setups that worked today:
- Bank earnings plays – names like **$GS** and **$JPM** rallied sharply on strong results and upbeat commentary on AI and economic resilience
- Semiconductor and AI chip stocks – selective strength in AI infrastructure-related names despite sector volatility, benefiting from strong earnings and positive outlooks
## WHAT FAILED
Setups that didn't work:
- Software and IT services – dragged down by **$IBM**’s warning and broad concerns about AI spending shifts, causing some software stocks to sell off despite the broader tech rally
- Medical device pullbacks – weakness in surgical volumes and analyst downgrades hurt names like **$ISRG**, undermining healthcare tech plays
## AFTER-HOURS WATCH
Earnings or news to monitor tonight:
- **$ERIC** (Ericsson) - Q2 earnings report expected, following a recent miss and margin pressure that rattled investors
- **$ASML** - anticipated to provide updates on capacity and China-related challenges amid ongoing chip sector volatility
- **$MSFT** (Microsoft) - watch for commentary on AI investments and growth prospects
## TOMORROW PREVIEW
**Early Watch:**
- **$MSFT**, **$ASML**, **$ERIC** for key earnings and guidance insights
- Select AI and semiconductor names for follow-through on today’s chip sector moves
**Catalyst:**
- June CPI inflation data release and Fed official testimony, which could influence rate hike expectations and market direction
- Continued earnings from major tech and industrial companies
**Bias:**
- Neutral to cautiously bullish, supported by easing inflation and strong bank earnings but tempered by lingering concerns in software and hardware spending shifts
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