
## TODAY'S GRADE: C
A challenging day for day traders as semiconductor stocks and related tech sectors sold off sharply amid geopolitical concerns and AI spending worries, limiting clear momentum plays.
## HOW INDEXES TRADED
**SPY:** -0.3% - choppy with defensive rotation
**QQQ:** -1.2% - pressured by semiconductor and tech weakness
**IWM:** -0.5% - modest decline amid risk-off sentiment
## BIGGEST MOVERS
### Winners
**$KO** +6% - Raised earnings guidance and strong Q2 results buoyed consumer defensive sentiment
**$BE** +8% - Earnings beat and raised 2026 outlook on AI data center power demand
**$UPS** +5% - Earnings beat and full-year guidance raise despite some operational headwinds
### Losers
**$MU** -10% - Semiconductor selloff deepened on China-related concerns and AI spending doubts
**$WDC** -9% - Hard drive demand worries amid chip sector rout
**$RWT** -7% - Earnings miss and lowered price target weighed on Redwood Trust
## WHAT WORKED
Patterns or setups that worked today:
- Defensive consumer staples breakouts, exemplified by **$KO** on earnings and guidance lift
- Select industrials like **$UPS** showing resilience post-earnings beat
- AI-related infrastructure plays like **$BE** benefiting from strong data center demand
## WHAT FAILED
Setups that didn't work:
- Semiconductor momentum trades collapsed amid geopolitical tensions and AI capex concerns, catching many off guard
- High beta tech momentum baskets, including leveraged ETFs like **$SOXL**, suffered heavy losses
- Short-term bounce attempts in chip stocks failed as selling pressure intensified
## AFTER-HOURS WATCH
Earnings or news to monitor tonight:
- **$AAPL** - Q3 earnings preview as Apple approaches $5 trillion market cap milestone; watch for AI and device leasing updates
- **$AMZN** - Earnings due amid AI strategy overhaul and cautious guidance
- **$META** - Earnings on deck with focus on AI spending and cloud growth
- **$MSFT** - Upcoming Q4 report critical for AI investment payoff narrative
- **$TSLA** - Tesla’s Q2 results and outlook will be closely watched after recent valuation pressure
## TOMORROW PREVIEW
**Early Watch:** Semiconductor names like **$NVDA**, **$AMD**, and **$LRCX** as earnings season heats up; consumer discretionary stocks like **$CMG** ahead of earnings.
**Catalyst:** Fed rate decision and statement; key Q2 earnings from Big Tech and chipmakers; crude oil inventory data.
**Bias:** Neutral to cautious as markets digest earnings and await Fed guidance amid ongoing geopolitical uncertainties and AI spending debates.
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