Catalyst Calendar - August 11, 2026 (Morning)

 ## Major Catalysts Mentioned **Riot Platforms (RIOT)** - Date: September (IPO planned for Anthropic, deal signed) - Why it matters: Riot Platforms signed a $9.1 billion cloud deal with Anthropic, boosting its AI infrastructure exposure significantly. This deal positions Riot as a key player in the AI data center space, likely driving revenue growth and investor interest. - Stocks affected: **$RIOT** **Intel (INTC)** - Date: August 2026 (stock sale ongoing) - Why it matters: Intel is raising $20 billion through a stock offering to fund its AI build-out, representing a major capital raise to support its AI infrastructure ambitions. The dilution and capital deployment will be closely watched by investors. - Stocks affected: **$INTC** **Rocket Lab (RKLB)** - Date: Q2 2026 earnings reported - Why it matters: Rocket Lab reported Q2 revenue up 62% but widened losses, and the CEO commented on not competing directly with Musk and Bezos in broadband. The company is also progressing with its Neutron rocket, but shares have fallen nearly 50% from highs, indicating volatility and investor caution. - Stocks affected: **$RKLB** **Nvidia (NVDA)** - Date: August 26, 2026 (earnings date mentioned) - Why it matters: Nvidia is central to the AI boom, with Wall Street firms partnering to finance a $500 billion AI infrastructure expansion. Anticipation is building for its August 26 earnings report, which could be a major market mover given Nvidia’s leadership in AI chips. - Stocks affected: **$NVDA** **Anthropic** - Date: September 2026 (planned IPO) - Why it matters: Anthropic’s planned IPO and its $9.1 billion cloud deal with Riot Platforms highlight the growing AI infrastructure market and the potential for new entrants to disrupt the sector. - Stocks affected: **$RIOT** (deal partner) ## Earnings on Deck - **$NVDA** - Reports August 26, 2026 - Key watch: AI infrastructure revenue growth and margin expansion. - **$RKLB** - Reported Q2 2026 - Key watch: Revenue growth vs. widening losses and Neutron rocket progress. - **$RIOT** - Reported Q2 2026 - Key watch: Revenue beat, new long-term data center lease, and AI infrastructure deal impact. - **$QMCO** - Reported Q1 2027 - Key watch: Earnings performance and growth outlook. - **$CHRCF** - Q4 2026 earnings call transcript available - Key watch: EBITDA growth and margin expansion. - **$ASTS** - Q2 2026 earnings miss but full-year guidance held - Key watch: Cash burn and operational progress. - **$ACVA** - Q2 2026 earnings reported - Key watch: Earnings miss and guidance. - **$HIMS** - Q2 2026 earnings reported - Key watch: Shift to branded obesity drugs and loss widening. - **$TNET** - Mentioned as turnaround candidate - Date TBD. - **$LLY** and **$NVO** - Obesity market competition - Date TBD. ## Economic Events - Inflation reports expected this week (August 11, 2026) influencing Bitcoin and Ethereum prices. - U.S. inflation print on August 12, 2026, could provide a dovish catalyst for markets. - U.S. small-business sentiment rose to an 11-month high in July, indicating economic resilience. - Australia’s central bank held rates steady at 4.35% but warned further hikes are possible. - Brazil central bank signals tight policy to continue despite rate cuts. - Bank of Korea likely to raise interest rates further (date TBD). ## Regulatory & Legal - U.S. SEC plans meeting to propose cryptocurrency regulations to support certain digital asset offerings (date TBD). - Australian watchdog suspends Cryptolink, forcing 96 ATMs offline. - Adani wins dismissal in U.S. fraud case. - FlightAware sues Kalshi over unauthorized data use related to flight cancellation bets. ## What's NOT Dated But Worth Tracking - AI boom and bust timing discussions, with Nvidia and Riot Platforms at the forefront. - Wall Street’s large-scale AI infrastructure financing plans, including Nvidia’s $500 billion initiative. - Intel’s AI build-out and capital raise strategy. - Anthropic’s IPO and its impact on AI cloud infrastructure. - Geopolitical tensions affecting oil prices and supply through the Strait of Hormuz, influencing energy and broader markets. - The competitive landscape in obesity drugs between Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk. - The evolving U.S. federal debt situation and AI’s potential role in addressing it. - The impact of AI on U.S. job growth and federal debt sustainability. - The semiconductor memory supercycle reacceleration, with Micron and SK Hynix as key players. - The AI infrastructure bottleneck shifting into factory networks, relevant for companies like Jabil. ## Highest Conviction Catalyst - What: Nvidia’s August 26, 2026, earnings report. - When: August 26, 2026. - Why it matters: Nvidia remains the bellwether for the AI boom, with massive Wall Street backing for a $500 billion AI infrastructure expansion. The earnings report will provide critical insights into demand trends, supply chain dynamics, and margin outlook amid intense market focus on AI chip leadership. Given Nvidia’s outsized influence on tech and broader markets, this event could trigger significant moves in semiconductor and AI-related stocks. - Trade idea: Consider positioning ahead of the report in **$NVDA** or related AI infrastructure plays, while monitoring implied volatility and potential post-earnings price swings. Hedge exposure appropriately given the event’s high impact potential.