
## MARKET MOOD: RISK-ON
U.S. markets showed strong overnight gains led by tech and financials, driven by Nvidia’s robust earnings and upbeat guidance. Optimism around AI growth and easing geopolitical tensions supported the risk-on sentiment despite some mixed earnings and oil weakness.
## TOP 5 HEADLINES
1. Nvidia’s AI-Powered Earnings Beat and Revenue Guidance Crushed Wall Street's Estimates → Impact: Nvidia shares gained, lifting tech sector and Nasdaq futures.
2. Warner Bros. Discovery Q4 2025 sees mixed results with streaming subs topping 131 million → Impact: Streaming competition remains intense; WBD shares slightly pressured.
3. HSBC cuts U.S. exposure, boosts EM equities → Impact: Rotation into emerging markets could shift sector and regional flows.
4. Tesla down 2.93% despite broader market rally → Impact: Profit-taking or company-specific concerns weigh on Tesla.
5. Oil drops more than 2.85% on US stockpiles and US-Iran talks → Impact: Energy sector under pressure; XLE down 1.25%.
## PRE-MARKET MOVERS
### Longs (Bullish Catalysts)
**$NVDA** - Strong Q4 earnings beat and raised guidance on AI demand
**$ANET** - Shares up 3.09% on solid earnings and data center exposure
**$APO** - Gains 3.17% on positive earnings and asset management outlook
**$C** - Up 4.57% after strong earnings beat and optimistic commentary
**$UNH** - +4.22% on better-than-expected Q4 results and guidance
**$SNOW** - +8.28% following earnings beat and AI product push
### Shorts (Bearish Catalysts)
**$AI** - Plunged 22.56% after disappointing earnings and guidance
**$ARRY** - Fell 23.11% on weak earnings and outlook
**$TTD** - Down 13.63% amid growth concerns and analyst downgrades
**$ZM** - Dropped 8.01% after earnings miss and cautious outlook
**$ZIP** - Down 12.75% on weak earnings and guidance
**$RVMD** - Fell 5.98% on earnings miss and valuation concerns
## INDEX BIAS
**SPY:** BULLISH - Broad market rally led by tech and financials with strong earnings momentum.
**QQQ:** BULLISH - Nasdaq 100 up 1.48% driven by Nvidia and other AI-related tech stocks.
**IWM:** NEUTRAL - Small caps up 0.74% but less conviction amid mixed earnings and sector rotation.
## SECTORS
**Favor:** Technology - Led by Nvidia’s strong results and AI optimism; XLK up 2.12%.
**Avoid:** Energy - Oil prices dropped sharply on inventory build and geopolitical talks; XLE down 1.25%.
## CATALYST WATCH
Events today that could move markets:
- 08:30 AM ET: U.S. Weekly Jobless Claims - market watching for labor market stability signals
- 10:00 AM ET: U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Update - potential impact on oil and geopolitical risk
## BOTTOM LINE
**Today's Play:** Selective
The dominant theme is AI-driven tech strength led by Nvidia and peers, fueling a risk-on environment. Financials also show strength on solid earnings. Energy remains a drag amid falling oil prices and geopolitical developments. Watch for labor data and Iran talks for fresh market direction. Best opportunities lie in AI-related tech and high-quality financials, while caution is warranted in energy and beaten-down software names with weak outlooks.
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