Catalyst Calendar - February 26, 2026 (EOD)

 ## Today's Catalyst Results How did scheduled events play out? - **Nvidia (NVDA)** - Result: Reported strong Q4 earnings beat but shares fell 5.35% amid concerns over AI spending sustainability and cautious guidance. - Market reaction: The stock declined sharply, contributing to weakness in the tech sector and broader indices. - **Accenture (ACN)** - Result: Delivered an 8.29% gain in share price following Q4 earnings beat and positive outlook. - Market reaction: Helped buoy IT services sector amid broader market declines. - **Dell Technologies (DELL)** - Result: Posted record earnings, signaling effective management of memory shortages. - Market reaction: Shares surged 8.60%, outperforming the broader market. - **Shake Shack (SHAK)** - Result: Beat Q4 earnings estimates and showed turnaround progress. - Market reaction: Shares jumped 7.03%, reflecting renewed investor confidence. - **Krispy Kreme (DNUT)** - Result: Q4 earnings beat and positive 2026 outlook. - Market reaction: Shares surged 27.09%, signaling strong recovery momentum. - **IonQ (IONQ)** - Result: Surged on revenue and 2026 guidance exceeding expectations. - Market reaction: Shares rose 18.31%, highlighting investor enthusiasm for quantum computing. - **Frontdoor (FTDR)** - Result: Reported 16.80% gain after Q4 earnings beat and strong renewals. - Market reaction: Stock rallied sharply, reflecting confidence in business model. - **PennyMac (PENN)** - Result: Q4 earnings beat with 16.19% share price gain. - Market reaction: Strong performance amid mortgage sector volatility. - **Marriott Vacations (VAC)** - Result: Shares gained 16.66% after Q4 earnings showed free cash flow to triple on cost cuts. - Market reaction: Positive sentiment in travel and leisure sector. - **Nautilus (NAUT)** - Result: Q4 earnings missed, shares down 16.26%. - Market reaction: Weakness in fitness equipment sector. - **Eos Energy Enterprises (EOSE)** - Result: Shares plunged 40.09% on Q4 earnings miss and profitability concerns. - Market reaction: Significant selloff in energy storage segment. - **C3.ai (AI)** - Result: Shares fell 18.91% after wider loss and workforce cut announcement. - Market reaction: AI software sector faced renewed selling pressure. - **Ambarella (AMBA)** - Result: Despite beating Q4 estimates, shares dropped 10.39%. - Market reaction: Concerns over margin pressure and guidance. - **Alkermes (AKBA)** - Result: Shares gained 10.74% on Q4 earnings beat. - Market reaction: Positive momentum in biotech. - **Laminate Vascular (LMAT)** - Result: Shares surged 24.41% on strong Q4 results and raised guidance. - Market reaction: Investor enthusiasm in medical devices. - **Nvidia (NVDA) and AI sector** - Result: Despite strong earnings, AI-related stocks broadly declined due to cautious outlooks and profit-taking. - Market reaction: Tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 fell 1.60%, S&P 500 down 0.99%. ## Surprise News Today Unexpected developments that moved markets: - **Google (GOOGL)** - Signed a multibillion-dollar deal with Meta for AI chips. - Reaction: Despite the positive deal, shares declined 1.50%, reflecting broader tech sector caution. - **PayPal (PYPL)** - Shares dropped 2.62% amid takeover rumors, though company reportedly not in talks. - Reaction: Market skepticism on potential buyout prospects weighed on shares. - **Netflix (NFLX)** - Shares jumped 12.09% on news of dropping Warner Bros. offer, leaving Paramount as the likely winner in the streaming wars. - Reaction: Strong rally on perceived strategic clarity and ad revenue growth prospects. - **Anthropic (Private AI firm)** - CEO stated refusal to accede to Pentagon’s AI safeguards request, highlighting tensions in AI governance. - Reaction: Heightened scrutiny on AI companies’ regulatory and ethical challenges. - **Marathon Digital (MARA)** - Shares surged 12.84% after announcing partnership with Starwood to build AI data centers amid a $1.7B loss. - Reaction: Market rewarded pivot to AI infrastructure despite losses. - **CoreWeave (Data center AI infrastructure)** - Reported 110% revenue surge but ongoing profitability pain led to stock drop in after-hours. - Reaction: Mixed investor sentiment on growth vs. profitability trade-off. - **Eos Energy Enterprises (EOSE)** - Shares plunged 40.09% unexpectedly on Q4 earnings miss and margin pressure. - Reaction: Sharp selloff in energy storage sector. - **C3.ai (AI)** - Announced 26% workforce cut and wider loss, shares dropped sharply. - Reaction: Renewed concerns about AI software sector sustainability. ## After-Hours Catalysts Earnings and events happening tonight: - **Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. (FIGR)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to provide insights on blockchain lending and valuation scrutiny. - **Hafnia Limited (HAFN)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to discuss shipping sector performance. - **Permian Resources Corporation (PR)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to update on oil and gas production and financials. - **Allianz SE (ALIZY)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to review insurance sector results and outlook. - **The Marcus Corporation (MCS)** - Q4 2025 earnings call expected to shed light on hospitality and entertainment recovery. - **Kinetik Holdings Inc. (KNTK)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to discuss profitability surge despite revenue headwinds. - **Service Properties Trust (SVC)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to cover real estate investment trust performance. - **IonQ (IONQ)** - After strong Q4 results, watch for guidance and quantum computing growth updates. - **Nautilus (NAUT)** - Q4 2025 earnings call to address recent earnings miss and strategic outlook. - **Shake Shack (SHAK)** - Following strong Q4, focus on 2026 growth plans. - **Frontdoor (FTDR)** - Earnings call to discuss renewal strength and margin outlook. - **Marriott Vacations (VAC)** - Q4 earnings call to elaborate on cost-cutting and cash flow expansion. - **C3.ai (AI)** - After workforce cuts and loss widening, earnings call will be critical for future strategy. - **Ambarella (AMBA)** - Earnings call to clarify margin pressures and guidance. ## Tomorrow's Calendar Key events scheduled for tomorrow: - **U.S. Core Inflation Data (Tokyo)** - Time: Not specified - Watch for: Inflation trends below central bank target, potential impact on global markets. - **Netflix (NFLX) Earnings Follow-up** - Time: Not specified - Watch for: Further commentary on ad revenue growth and streaming strategy. ## This Week Ahead Other catalysts coming this week (only if dates mentioned): - No specific dates mentioned for additional events this week. ## Highest Conviction Setup Based on today's action and upcoming catalysts: - Stock: **$IONQ** - Catalyst: Strong Q4 earnings beat and 2026 guidance exceeding expectations amid growing quantum computing interest. - Thesis: Quantum computing remains a nascent but rapidly advancing sector with few pure-play public companies. IonQ’s robust revenue growth and positive outlook position it well to capitalize on increasing demand for quantum solutions, making it a high-conviction growth play despite broader tech volatility. --- Market summary: The S&P 500 closed down 0.99%, Nasdaq 100 fell 1.60%, and Dow Jones declined 0.54%, reflecting profit-taking in tech and AI-related stocks despite strong earnings from key names like Nvidia and Accenture. Oil and gold showed mixed moves amid ongoing US-Iran nuclear talks. Investor focus shifts to inflation data and after-hours earnings from financials, energy, and tech companies.