Catalyst Calendar - March 02, 2026 (EOD)

 ## Today's Catalyst Results How did scheduled events play out? - **AAON** - Q4 earnings showed a slight miss on EPS but revenue topped estimates. Despite margin pressures, shares gained 4.06%, reflecting investor confidence in growth prospects. - **LendingTree (TREE)** - Reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $(0.39), missing the $0.87 estimate, but revenue beat at $319.7M versus $286.5M expected. The company raised Q1 and full-year sales guidance well above consensus, driving a 12.39% stock surge. - **Ouster (OUST)** - Q4 revenue doubled with margins expanding to 60%, beating expectations. The stock soared 27.76% in response to strong financials and bullish guidance. - **Core Scientific (CORZ)** - Q4 EPS of $0.42 beat prior loss, but sales declined year-over-year. Shares declined after the report, reflecting concerns over revenue trends. - **ADT** - Reported Q4 results with revenue headwinds and a $1.5B buyback program announcement. Despite strong free cash flow, shares plunged 11.22%, signaling investor caution. - **Asana (ASAN)** - Q4 earnings beat estimates with AI products driving $6M ARR and margin expansion to 9%. Shares rallied 6.34% on the positive outlook. - **Plenty of other companies reported Q4 results with mixed reactions, including Dorman Products (DORM) down 1.64%, and Smith & Nephew (SNN) down 3.09%.** ## Surprise News Today Unexpected developments that moved markets: - **$ASTH** - Astrana Health shares surged 27.05% after reporting Q4 earnings, signaling strong investor enthusiasm for its growth trajectory. - **$ASTS** - AST SpaceMobile jumped 13.39% amid optimism about satellite ramp-up and future revenue growth. - **$VG** - Venture Global shares soared 17.34% following a strong Q4 earnings call and positive LNG market outlook amid Middle East supply concerns. - **$RLYB** - Rallybio surged 42.18% on M&A call remarks, highlighting potential strategic moves. - **$KSPI** - Kaspi.kz jumped 10.28% after reporting strong Q4 results. - **$GOGO** - Gogo shares climbed 10.17% on positive conference presentation and growth prospects. - **$GAIA** - Gaia surged 10.91% following a solid earnings transcript. - **$OCUL** - Ocular Therapeutix jumped 22.82% on promising Phase III data for wet AMD treatment. - **$PLTR** - Palantir gained 6.28% amid defense sector rally and strong AI demand. - **$SOFI** - SoFi rose 5.35% after CEO purchased $1 million in shares, signaling confidence. - **$AI** - C3.ai jumped 7.53% on strong conference presentation and AI growth narrative. - **$DK** - Delek US surged 8.48% on strong Q4 results and energy market tailwinds. - **$PLUG** - Plug Power climbed 8.94% despite mixed earnings, reflecting optimism on gross margin improvement. - **$ASND** - Ascendis Pharma rose 3.68% on FDA approval and commercial launch plans. - **$CRCL** - Corcelion shares jumped 14.49% after earnings beat and positive guidance. - **$CRDO** - Credo Technology dropped 6.25% after earnings, highlighting challenges despite growth. - **$BYND** - Beyond Meat plunged 12.97% on weak sales and sector headwinds. - **$NCLH** - Norwegian Cruise sank 10.53% on weak annual profit forecast amid subdued demand and geopolitical concerns. - **$BRK.B** - Berkshire Hathaway shares dropped 4.68% after poor Q4 results and lack of bold moves by new CEO Abel. - **$TPB** - Turning Point Brands plunged 20.79% on earnings call, reflecting investor disappointment. ## After-Hours Catalysts Earnings and events happening tonight: - **$RGR** - Sturm, Ruger & Company Q4 earnings call transcript released; watch for defense sector reaction amid geopolitical tensions. - **$IHRT** - iHeartMedia Q4 earnings call transcript available; monitor media sector response. - **$CERS** - Cerus Corporation Q4 earnings call transcript; biotech investors should note clinical progress. - **$INSM** - Insmed Incorporated Q4 earnings presentation; focus on biotech growth outlook. - **$EPAM** - EPAM Systems Q4 earnings call transcript; watch for tech services guidance. - **$DORM** - Dorman Products Q4 earnings call; auto parts sector update. - **$HGTY** - Hagerty Q4 earnings call transcript; specialty insurance sector insight. - **$BBAI** - BigBear.ai Q4 earnings call prepared remarks; AI and defense analytics focus. - **$GDDY** - GoDaddy presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; AI initiatives and strategic growth to watch. - **$TWLO** - Twilio presentation at Citizens JMP Technology Conference; developer platform growth. - **$NOW** - ServiceNow presentation at Citizens JMP Technology Conference; SaaS growth and AI integration. - **$CDW** - CDW presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; IT solutions momentum. - **$IPGP** - IPG Photonics presentation at Raymond James Conference; photonics and AI optics growth. - **$LHX** - L3Harris Technologies 8K filing; defense sector developments. - **$MA** - Mastercard presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; payments growth. - **$NVDA** - Nvidia conference update expected; watch for AI chip roadmap. - **$PLTR** - Palantir conference presentation; defense and AI demand outlook. - **$SNOW** - Snowflake conference presentation; cloud data platform growth. - **$OKTA** - Okta presentation at Stifel conference; identity management growth. - **$FLEX** - Flex Ltd. presentation at Raymond James Conference; supply chain and manufacturing trends. - **$AMGN** - Amgen presentation at TD Cowen Health Care Conference; biotech pipeline updates. - **$LLY** - Eli Lilly presentation at TD Cowen Conference; pharmaceutical innovation. - **$BMY** - Bristol-Myers Squibb presentation at TD Cowen Conference; oncology focus. - **$PFE** - Pfizer presentation at TD Cowen Conference; vaccine and pharma pipeline. - **$IONS** - Ionis Pharmaceuticals presentation at TD Cowen Conference; RNA therapeutics. - **$UTHR** - United Therapeutics presentation at TD Cowen Conference; pulmonary hypertension data. - **$ASND** - Ascendis Pharma presentation at TD Cowen Conference; commercial launch plans. - **$XRX** - Xerox presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; digital transformation. - **$CSCO** - Cisco presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; networking and AI infrastructure. - **$MSI** - Motorola Solutions presentation at Raymond James Conference; public safety tech. - **$CDW** - CDW presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; IT solutions update. - **$ZETA** - Zeta Global presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; AI-driven marketing. - **$RAMP** - LiveRamp presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; data connectivity growth. - **$RJF** - Raymond James Financial presentation; wealth management outlook. - **$BKNG** - Booking Holdings earnings call; travel sector to watch amid geopolitical risks. - **$NCLH** - Norwegian Cruise earnings call; travel demand concerns. - **$CVNA** - Carvana presentation at Morgan Stanley Conference; e-commerce auto sales update. - **$DKNG** - DraftKings analyst day remarks; gaming sector insights. - **$F** - Ford earnings and recall impact; auto sector caution. - **$WMT** - Walmart earnings and consumer trends. - **$AMZN** - Amazon earnings preview; AI spending and retail growth focus. - **$AAPL** - Apple launches new iPhone 17e and iPad Air with M4 chip; watch for product impact on shares. - **$NVDA** - Nvidia plans new AI chip release; key catalyst for tech sector. - **$PLUG** - Plug Power Q4 earnings call; gross margin improvement focus. - **$SOFI** - SoFi CEO share purchase signals confidence; fintech sector attention. - **$CRCL** - Corcelion earnings beat; biotech momentum. - **$ASTH** - Astrana Health strong Q4; growth potential. - **$ASTS** - AST SpaceMobile satellite ramp-up; revenue growth outlook. ## Tomorrow's Calendar Key events scheduled for tomorrow: - **JPMorgan (JPM) Earnings Call** - Time: Not specified - Watch for bank earnings and commentary on credit and macro outlook amid geopolitical tensions. - **Morgan Stanley Technology, Media & Telecom Conference** - Time: Throughout day - Focus on presentations from tech and software companies including GoDaddy, Twilio, ServiceNow, CDW, and others for AI and growth updates. - **TD Cowen 46th Annual Health Care Conference** - Time: Throughout day - Key biotech and pharma presentations including Amgen, Eli Lilly, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Pfizer, Ionis, United Therapeutics, and Ascendis Pharma. - **Raymond James Institutional Investor Conference** - Time: Throughout day - Presentations from IPG Photonics, Motorola Solutions, LiveRamp, and others. - **Citigroup Miami Global Property CEO Conference** - Time: Throughout day - REITs and real estate companies including Mid-America Apartment, Kilroy Realty, and others. - **Earnings calls for Sturm, Ruger (RGR) and iHeartMedia (IHRT)** - Time: Not specified - Watch for defense and media sector updates. ## This Week Ahead Other catalysts coming this week (only if dates mentioned): - Monday: JPMorgan to start debt deal for $55 billion EA buyout. - Monday: Rubio to brief US House and Senate leaders on Iran conflict. - No other specific dates mentioned for this week. ## Highest Conviction Setup Based on today's action and upcoming catalysts: - Stock: **$OUST** - Catalyst: Strong Q4 earnings with revenue doubling and margin expansion to 60%, plus positive guidance amid rising demand for lidar technology. - Thesis: Ouster’s robust financial performance and leadership in autonomous vehicle sensor technology position it well to capitalize on AI and automation trends, making it a compelling growth play in a volatile market environment. - Stock: **$TREE** - Catalyst: Q4 revenue beat and raised guidance for Q1 and full year, despite EPS miss. - Thesis: LendingTree’s strong revenue growth and optimistic outlook suggest resilience in digital lending and consumer finance, offering potential upside as the economy navigates geopolitical and inflationary pressures. - Stock: **$ASTH** - Catalyst: Significant Q4 earnings beat and strong investor response. - Thesis: Astrana Health’s momentum and growth potential in healthcare innovation make it a high-conviction growth stock amid sector rotation. - Stock: **$PLTR** - Catalyst: Defense sector rally and strong AI demand. - Thesis: Palantir’s unique positioning in AI-driven defense analytics amid geopolitical tensions supports continued upside. - Stock: **$VG** - Catalyst: Strong Q4 earnings and LNG market tailwinds amid Middle East supply disruptions. - Thesis: Venture Global’s leadership in LNG exports and positive market dynamics provide a solid growth and energy play in the current environment.